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Portfolio Checklist episode: Iran–US deal's effects on oil trade and signs of an AI rally fading

The latest Portfolio Checklist podcast, released Friday, examines what could slow the normalization of oil flows after the Iran–United States agreement and draws lessons from the four-month crisis, with insights from Pletser Tamás of OTP Alapkezelő.

Portfolio Checklist episode: Iran–US deal's effects on oil trade and signs of an AI rally fading

The latest Portfolio Checklist episode, released on Friday, is now available. The show covers two main themes: the potential obstacles to restoring oil trade after the Iran–United States agreement, and whether recent market moves point to a reversal of the AI-led equity rally.

What could slow the recovery of oil flows?

In the first segment the guest was Pletser Tamás, senior portfolio manager at OTP Alapkezelő. The conversation focused on which factors might delay normalization of oil exports and shipping after the Iran–US agreement, and what lessons can be drawn from the four-month crisis preceding the deal.

Although the agreement aims to ease tensions, the discussion highlighted that both structural and short-term impediments may remain that could slow the return of shipments and affect prices and market liquidity. The segment also summarized practical lessons from the crisis, including the importance of risk management, alternative routing and inventory strategies.

Are there signs the AI rally is over?

In the second part, Nagy Viktor, Portfolio’s lead equity analyst, examined recent price action in AI-linked stocks. The episode referenced a roughly 9 percent drop in the South Korean market and about a 6 percent decline in Apple shares, and considered whether these moves signal the end of the AI-driven rally.

The analysis differentiated between technical corrections and fundamental changes, and reviewed how macro news, company-specific developments, liquidity and earnings expectations could be driving the moves. The aim was to help listeners assess whether the market was experiencing short-term volatility or a more durable trend reversal.

Practical details and availability

Key timestamps from the episode:

  • Intro – (00:00)
  • Hormuz, oil trade – (01:37)
  • AI stocks – (15:14)
  • Market outlook – (28:39)

The podcast is available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, other major platforms, and via the embedded player in the article.

WOOD & Co. Investor Day 2026

The article also notes that WOOD & Company will hold its first WOOD & Co. Investor Day 2026 on September 9 at the Budapest Marriott Hotel, in professional partnership with Portfolio. The closed-door event will bring together the group’s owners, senior management, key partners and leading investment market participants for discussion of the current economic and investment environment and for networking.

Cover image credit: 2026 maps4media via Getty Images

Tags: equities, Iran, artificial intelligence, Apple, oil, Strait of Hormuz, South Korea, trade, AI, checklistpodcast