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Adobe posts record quarter but cautious AI outlook and CEO change weigh on stock

Adobe reported a record $6.76 billion in revenue for fiscal Q3 2026 and strong subscription and AI-related growth, yet its guidance for the upcoming quarter fell short of analyst consensus.

Adobe posts record quarter but cautious AI outlook and CEO change weigh on stock

Adobe reported record revenue of $6.76 billion for fiscal Q3 2026, a 13 percent year‑over‑year increase, yet its guidance for the quarter ending in November fell short of analyst expectations. The company gave revenue guidance of $6.8–6.85 billion, whose midpoint is below the Bloomberg consensus of $6.85 billion, prompting investor concern.

Key figures for the closed quarter

  • Total revenue: $6.76 billion (up 13% year‑over‑year).
  • GAAP diluted earnings per share: $4.62.
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share: $6.13.
  • Net income: $1.83 billion.
  • Operating cash flow: a record $2.52 billion.
  • GAAP operating income: $2.35 billion (prior year: $2.17 billion).
  • Adjusted operating income: $2.97 billion.

Adobe’s annualized recurring revenue (ARR) stood at $27.5 billion at quarter end. Subscription revenues remain the dominant part of sales, totaling $6.58 billion in the quarter versus $5.79 billion a year earlier.

Fast growth in AI-related revenue, but structural questions remain

The company said its AI‑first annualized recurring revenue grew by more than 150 percent year‑over‑year. Monthly active users for its creativity and productivity products reached one billion. Management expects continued growth from AI‑based products and is pursuing a freemium strategy while adding more AI‑agent features to its services.

Nevertheless, investors are focused on how the spread of generative AI will affect Adobe’s growth in coming years. Generative AI services can produce images and other visual content without users needing traditional Adobe tools, raising concerns that new AI competitors might erode demand for some of Adobe’s legacy creative software.

Market reaction and leadership change

Adobe’s stock fell about 3 percent in after‑hours trading; the share closed the regular session at $248.83. The stock had already been down roughly 29 percent year‑to‑date before the release.

Adding to uncertainty, Adobe announced a CEO transition: Anil Chakravarthy will assume the chief executive role on December 1. The change surprised some investors because Chakravarthy has run the company’s marketing and analytics software unit, a smaller business compared with Adobe’s flagship creative segment. David Wadhwani, who led the creative business and was viewed as an alternative candidate, will depart in September.

Full‑year outlook

Following the quarter, management raised its full‑year guidance. For fiscal 2026 Adobe now expects revenue between $26.576 billion and $26.626 billion, adjusted diluted EPS of $24.45–$24.50, ARR growth of 10.2 percent, and an adjusted operating margin of 45 percent.

Bottom line

The quarter shows a healthy core business — rising subscription revenues, strong profitability and rapidly growing AI‑linked products. Yet the market reaction underscores that investor sentiment is increasingly shaped by expectations about how generative AI will influence Adobe’s long‑term growth, and by the uncertainty introduced by a surprise CEO change.

Note: This article is not investment advice or a recommendation.